After nearly pulling an upset as a double-digit underdog, the Oakland Raiders head home to take on maybe the worst team in football at the moment, the Jacksonville Jaguars, at the O.co Coliseum Sunday afternoon (4:25 pm ET).In the early betting the Raiders, who gave up a late score in losing their season opener at Indianapolis 21-17, were favored by six points over the Jags, who just got held to a safety in losing their season opener to Kansas City.The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS vs the Raiders since 1997 and they face an Oakland team that is a woeful 4-15-1 ATS in their past 20 games as favorite.The Jaguars have been lame dogs, going 2-16 SU the past 18 games in this role.They must be bad to be 5.5-point dogs to a terrible Oakland team.
Oakland opened as 4-point favorites at shops such as 5Dimes, while the NFL total was moving downwards to 39 at Bovada for over under betting.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Raiders, currently No. 16 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Jaguars, who rate No. 32 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 13-9 victory for the Raiders.
Offensively, the game matches up Oakland's No. 24-ranked offense (17 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 23 at 28 PPG. The Raiders passing attack has averaged 201 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (171 YPG on average).In their last action, Jacksonville was a 28-2 loser at home against the Chiefs. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (30) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.The Raiders were a 21-17 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Colts. They covered the 11-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (38) made winners of UNDER bettors. Terrelle Pryor tore up the turf for 112 rushing yards in the latest Raiders game, a 21-17 loss to the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 0-10
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 2-8
A few Jaguars at Raiders trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 10 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville at Seattle, Sunday, September 22
Oakland at Denver, Monday, September 23